[摘要]：近年来，江苏省经济发展迅速，经济总量和人均GDP在全国处于领先水平，但经济发展的同时环境问题也日益突出。本文选取江苏省的经济增长指标(人均GDP)和典型环境质量指标，构建EKC曲线模型，运用SPSS软件模拟方程结果并作出拟合曲线，拟合结果表明人均GDP与工业废水排放量的拟合曲线呈N型，即工业废水排放量随经济的增长呈递增到递减再递增的趋势；人均GDP与工业废气排放量的拟合曲线呈N型，即工业废气的排放量随经济的增长呈递增递减再递增的趋势；人均GDP与工业固废的产生量拟合曲线呈单调递增，没有出现拐点，说明工业固废的产生量随经济的增长而增长。江苏省的EKC曲线没有出现传统倒U型，说明江苏省经济与环境的关系受多重因素的影响。最后提出江苏省环境质量改善的建议和对策。40329
[毕业论文关键词]:环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC);江苏省；回归分析
Abstract:
In recent years, rapid economic development in Jiangsu Province, total economic output and per capita GDP at the leading level in the country, but the economic development and environmental problems have become increasingly prominent. The text choice the economic growth index of Jiangsu province (GDP per capita) and typical environmental quality indicators, build the EKC curve model, the simulation equation results and make curve fitting using SPSS software. The fitting results show that fitting curve of GDP and per capita emissions of industrial waste watervolume is N, i.e. industrial wastewater emissions with present economic growth increased todecreasing and then increasing trend; the fitting curve of per capita GDP and industrial waste gas emissions is N, namely, industrial waste gas emissions with the present economic growthdecline again by increasing trend; per capita GDP and industrial waste generated amount offitting curve is monotone increasing, no the inflection point that production of industrial solid waste increases with economic growth. The EKC curve of Jiangsu province is not the traditional inverted U type，showing that the relationship between economy and environment of Jangsu is affected by multiple factors. At last, put forward some suggestions and Countermeasures to improve the environmental quality of Jiangsu province.
Key words: environmental Kuznets curve (EKC); Jangsu Province; regression analysis
目录
1 绪论    1
1.1研究背景及意义    1
1.1.1研究背景    1
1.1.2研究意义    1
1.2国内外研究现状    1
1.2.1国外研究现状    1
1.2.2国内研究现状    2
1.3 研究内容及方法    3
1.3.1研究内容    3
1.3.2 回归分析    3
2 EKC假说的理论解释    4
2.1环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)的相关理论    4
2.1.1 EKC假说的含义    4
2.1.2 常见模型及表现形式    4
2.1.2  EKC成因的影响因素    6
3 江苏省经济增长与环境质量的现状分析    7
3.1 江苏省经济增长的现状分析    7
3.1.1 江苏省整体经济增长的现状分析    7
3.1.2 江苏省产业结构的现状分析    7
3.2江苏省环境质量的现状分析    8
3.2.1水环境质量的现状分析    8
3.2.2空气环境质量的现状分析    9
3.2.3固体废弃物排放的现状分析    10
4 江苏省经济增长与环境质量关系的计量分析    12
4.1指标选取    12
4.2数据整理    12
4.3 EKC模型的构建    12
4.3.1 人均GDP与工业废水排放量模型构建    12 基于EKC假说的江苏省经济与环境关系的研究:http://www.youerw.com/jingji/lunwen_38610.html