卢布贬值对中俄贸易的影响+文献综述
时间:2018-12-01 21:38 来源:毕业论文 作者:毕业论文 点击:次
| 摘要：随着经济全球化的不断加快，汇率作为外汇市场上各国货币相互交换的比价，重要性日益凸显。汇率的变动或稳定，不仅反映了国家经济的运行状况，而且还会影响到其他的国家，特别是与本国进行国际贸易的相关国家经济的发展。2014年12月15日，美元兑卢布历史性地突破了60大关，这是1998年以来卢布最大的单日跌幅。而与此同时，中国对俄的贸易日益频繁，2014年中俄贸易额逆势增长，达到创记录的952.8亿美元。由此，卢布贬值对我国对俄贸易有何影响这一问题也得到越来越大的关注。本文从中俄贸易的历史出发，通过关注卢布汇率的变动，了解中俄贸易的现状，深入研究卢布贬值的具体原因。了解汇率变动对一国进出口贸易影响理论，研究卢布贬值背景下,中国对俄进出口贸易、中俄服务贸易以及中俄货币互换协议的影响,制定促进中俄贸易减少卢布贬值带来的负面影响的发展策略，以期在中俄贸易中取得更大的利益。30862 毕业论文关键词：卢布贬值、汇率、中俄贸易、服务贸易、发展策略 Impact of roble devaluation on the trade between China and Russia Abstract: Along with the accelerating of the globalization process, the exchange rate as the currencies on the foreign exchange market exchange value, the growing importance of the stability of the exchange rate or changes, not only reflect the operation condition of the national economy, but also affect other countries, particularly with its economy closely related to the development of national economy. On December 15, 2014, the dollar against the ruble, the historic breakthrough in the 60 mark, the ruble suffered the biggest one-day fall since 1998.At the same time, China to Russia trade increasingly frequent, China and Russia trade grow by 6.8% in 2014, reached a record $95.28 billion. Thus, people pay more and more attention on impact of roble devaluation on the trade between China and Russia. In this paper, starting from the history of China and Russia, by focusing on the ruble exchange rate changes, to understand the current situation of China and Russia trade, in-depth study of the specific reason for the ruble devaluation. Understand exchange rate changes affecting a country's import and export trade theory, study the ruble devaluation on Russia for China import and export trade, service trade between China and Russia, and the impact of currency swap agreement between China and Russia. Set in the ruble devaluation against the background of promoting the development of China to Russia trade strategy, in order to achieve even greater interest in the trade between China and Russia. Keywords: ruble; devaluation; exchange rates; trade; China; Russia; strategy 目 录 引 言 1 一、 中俄贸易现状 2 (一) 经贸关系不断深化 2 (二) 贸易额不断上升 2 (三) 经贸合作领域不断的拓展 3 (四) 合资企业发展良好 3 二、 卢布现状 4 (一) 卢布贬值现状 4 (二) 卢布贬值原因 5 1、 俄经济增长明显放缓 5 2、 为保银行流动性大举收购外汇 5 3、 俄央行无意支持卢布 5 4、 乌克兰危机加剧了市场风险 5 5、 石油的价格大跌 5 三、 汇率变动对国际贸易影响的理论分析 7 (一) 购买力平价理论 7 (二) 汇率变动对国际贸易的影响分析 7 四、 卢布贬值对中俄贸易影响 9 (一) 卢布贬值对出口俄罗斯贸易影响 9 1、 对俄出口大宗商品贸易额呈现下降趋势 9 (责任编辑：qin) |