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摘要：利用南京市郊区农户问卷调查数据，研究大城市郊区农户对于永久基本农田的保护意愿及其影响因素。结果表明：受访农户参与永久基本农田保护的意愿不高，运用二元Logistic回归模型分析发现受访农户的保护意愿并非完全取决于耕地的经济效益，也受其拥有的社会保障和政策认知影响，按其影响程度由大到小分别为：是否在城镇购买住房、是否了解永久基本农田、农业收入所占比、对目前的农业补贴看法、从业特征、耕地流转所占比、文化程度、务农人数所占比、人均耕地面积与家庭纯收入。为提高农户永久基本农田保护意愿提出如下建议：加强永久基本农田政策的宣传引导，加大对大城市郊区农业的扶持力度，构建以培养农户综合素质为主激励机制。25556
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毕业论文关键词：大城市郊区；永久基本农田；农户；保护意愿；Logistic模型
Analysis on Farmer’s Protection Willingness of Permanent Prime Farmland and Its Driving Factors around the Metropolis——A Case study in Nanjing City
Abstract： Using a survey dataset from suburban farm households in Nanjing, this paper analyzes their protection willingness and its driving factors to protect permanent prime farmland. It shows that their willingness to protect is not high. Based on the logistic model, it’s found that their willingness not only depend on the economic benefit of farmland, but also their social security and policy cognition. the following factors is sorted by their effect level: urban house buying condition , cognition of permanent prime farmland, agricultural income share ratio, views on the current agricultural subsidies for farmers , type of work , farmland transfer share ratio, education level, farm-related employment, per capita farmland and farm households’ net income. In order to improve farm households’ willingness to protect permanent prime farmland, we should strengthen the policy propaganda and give more support to suburban agriculture around the metropolis, and gradually build incentive mechanism focusing on cultivating comprehensive quality of farm households.
Key words: Metropolis; Permanent prime farmland; farm households; Protection willingness; Logistic model
目 录
摘要1
关键词1
Abstract1
Key words1
一、导论2
（一）研究背景2
1．现实背景2
2．政策背景2
（二）研究目的和意义2
1．研究目的 2
2．研究意义 2
（三）技术路线及研究方法3
1．技术路线 3
2．研究方法 4
（四）可能的创新与不足4
二、国内外研究概况5
（一）基本农田保护政策研究5
（二）基本农田保护主体研究5
（三）农户基本农田保护研究6
（四）文献述评7
1．重要研究主体——农户 7
2．重要研究区域——大城市郊区 7
3．研究重点——新型激励机制构建 7
三、研究理论基础7
（一）相关概念界定7
1．农户行为7
2．永久基本农田8
（二）农户生计来源理论分析8
1．农户收入结构变化 8
2．农户支出结构变化 8
四、研究区域与样本情况9
（一）研究区域9
（二）问卷设计9
（三）样本情况9
五、农户永久基本农田认知及保护意愿调查10
（一）农户永久基本农田认知10
1．农户永久基本农田概念认知10
2．农户永久基本农田管理认知10
3．农户永久基本农田意义认知 11
（二）农户永久基本农田保护意愿 11
1．农户永久基本农田保护意愿 11
2．农户永久基本农田补偿预期 11
优尔、农户永久基本农田保护意愿影响因素分析12
（一）模型选择12
（二）变量选择与设计12