摘要：随着我国经济和社会的不断发展，城市的建设也在不断的加强，人们的出行的频率也在不断的增加，使得城市的交通问题变得越来越严峻。近年来，城市公共交通的问题越来越得到了有关部门的高度重视。虽然，我国的交通基础设施的得到了很大的改善，但依旧不能满足现代经济的需求。在不能掌握公交出行信息的情况下，人们的生活受到了严重的影响。为了满足人们生活的要求，改善城市的公共交通，本次课题：基于GPS数据的公交行程时间预测应运而生。GPS公交行程时间数据是一系列包括位置、速度、方向以及时间戳等信息时序GPS轨迹点。以这些数据来分析公交在不同的情况下的行程时间。本文最后以北京市海淀区的公交作为研究，利用调查的历史数据对其车辆到站进行预测模型的验证，对比分析实际状况和历史数据。对该系统的正确性和可靠性做验证。61898

毕业论文关键词：GPS行程时间; 公交预测; 数据分析

Bus travel time prediction based on GPS data

Abstract：With the continuous development of our economy and society, the urban construction has been strengthening, the frequency of the people's travel also is unceasing increase, it makes the urban traffic problems become more and more serious. In recent years, the authorities got more attention about the problem of urban public transportation. Although, the transportation infrastructure got more improvement, it still can't meet the needs of the modern economy. In the case of people can't grasp the information about bus travel, their life got a serious influence. In order to meet the requirements of people's life, and improve the public transport of city, This topic: The prediction, based on the GPS data, about bus travel time, come into being. GPS bus travel time data is a series of GPS track points consist of the time sequential information about position, speed, direction, and timestamp, etc. With these data to analyze the travel time of bus in different situations. In haidian district of Beijing bus as the research, this paper draws on the history of the survey data on the prediction model verification of vehicle arrive station, comparative analysis of the actual situation and the historical data. Do verify the correctness and reliability of the system.

Keywords:  the travel time of GPS data;  the prediction of bus;  data analysis；

目录

摘要 I

ABSTRACT I

目录 II

1. 绪论 1

1.1. 研究的背景及意义 1

1.2. 国内外研究综述 2

1.2.1. 国外研究现状 2

1.2.2. 国内研究现状 2

1.3. 未来发展趋势 3

1.4. 本课题基本内容、难点和重点 3

1.4.1. 课题的基本内容 3

1.4.2. 课题难点 4

1.4.3. 课题重点 4

2. 技术开发介绍 5

2.1. 采用的技术介绍