摘要自中国加入世界贸易组织以来，国内农产品市场的开放程度便日趋加强，对外贸易规模也越来越大。2004年中国农产品贸易首次出现逆差，并在2011和2012年出现贸易逆差扩大的现象，这引起了广大学者的关注。虽然2014和2015年贸易逆差的状况有所缓解，但是逆差的总体格局还是没有改变。我国正处于对外开放的局面，从某种程度来说贸易出现不平衡属于正常态势，但我国作为农业大国必须要重视农产品贸易的逆差问题。由于农产品贸易在国民经济领域中具有重要地位，农产品贸易逆差问题已经成为了贸易逆差研究者和国内外农业生产的焦点问题。本文首先从农产品贸易逆差的总体概况，地区结构以及商品结构来分析农产品贸易的现状，然后运用多元回归对农产品贸易的若干变量进行系统分析，筛选出造成我国农产品贸易逆差的决定因素并在此基础上分析影响我国农产品贸易逆差的原因，最后探讨关于中国农产品贸易逆差的对策。46242
毕业论文关键词：农产品；贸易逆差；国际竞争力；进口关税
ABSTRCT Since China joined the world trade organization, the opening degree of the domestic agricultural product market has been gradually strengthened, and the scale of foreign trade has become more and more large. China's agricultural trade deficit in 2004, and in 2011 and 2012 the phenomenon of the expansion of the trade deficit, which has aroused the concern of the majority of scholars. Although the trade deficit in 2014 and 2015 eased, but the overall pattern of the deficit is still not changed. China is open to the outside world, in a certain extent, trade imbalance is a normal situation, but our country as a big agricultural country must pay attention to the trade deficit of agricultural products. Because the trade of agricultural products has an important position in the field of national economy, the trade deficit of agricultural products has become the focus of the research of the trade deficit and the domestic and foreign agricultural production. Firstly from the overall situation of agricultural products trade deficit, area structure, and commodity structure to analyze the status of agricultural products trade, and then use multiple regression on the trade of agricultural products of several variables to carry on the system analysis, screening out the cause of the determinants of China's agricultural products trade deficit and then analyses the factors that influence the cause of China's agricultural products trade deficit, and finally discusses the Countermeasures about China's agricultural products trade deficit.
Key words: agricultural products; trade deficit; international competitiveness; import tariff
目 录
第一章 引言 1
第二章 我国农产品贸易逆差的现状 2
2.1我国农产品贸易逆差持续扩大 2
2.2粮食作物和经济作物为主要贸易产品 3
2.3我国农产品贸易逆差的地区结构不平衡 3
第三章 我国农产品贸易逆差影响因素的实证分析 5
3.1变量选择及数据处理 5
3.2模型建立 5
3.3实证分析 5
3.4结论 7
第四章 我国农产品贸易逆差的主要影响因素 8
4.1人民币汇率的变化 8
4.2国内供求状况 8
4.3农产品的国际竞争力不足 8
4.4国际农产品贸易环境的恶化 9
第五章 应对我国农产品贸易逆差的对策 10
5.1合理应对人民币升值对农产品贸易逆差的影响 10
5.2完善农产品进出口的市场结构，促进贸易发展 10 我国农产品贸易逆差的原因与对策分析:http://www.youerw.com/jingji/lunwen_47908.html