摘要:2014年以前,人民币兑美元的汇率在持续地创造历史新高,一直以来是长期的单边升值模式。然而自2014年来,人民币兑美元的汇率就进入了双向变动的“新常态”。继人民币加入SDR之后,人民币兑美元的汇率变动幅度更是增大,这一趋势不仅对我国以出口贸易为主的相关企业造成巨大影响。因为中国的家电出口贸易额约在全球出口市场中向来占有重要份额(约37%左右),所以我们应该重视汇率变动对我国家电出口贸易的影响。因为海尔集团在我国的家电出口市场中占有最大的比重,具有一定的代表性,因此本文以海尔集团为例,运用了面板数据模型来探讨人民币汇率变化对我国家电出口贸易的影响,并相应提出了的解决策略。 26246 毕业论文关键词:汇率变动;家电出口;海尔集团
The Research of the RMB Exchange Rate Changes Condition and Its Influence on the Export Trade of Home Appliance
——Take Hair Group for Example
Abstract:Until 2014, the RMB's exchange rate against the dollar was a record high and has been a long-term one-way appreciation. Since 2014, however, the exchange rate of the RMB against the dollar into two-way volatility "new normal", after the renminbi to join the SDR, the RMB against the dollar exchange rate volatility is increased, the trend is not only to China's export trade mainly related to enterprise caused a huge impact. Because of China's home appliance export always occupies an important share in the global export markets (about 37%), we should pay more attention to exchange rate fluctuations impact on electrical appliances export trade of our country. For Hair group in our country occupies the largest proportion of home appliance export market, has certain representativeness, so this article ,taking Hair group as an example, uses the panel data model to explore the exchange rate change on the impact of China's home appliance export trade, and further put forward the corresponding solution strategy.
Key words:exchange rate fluctuates; home appliance export;Hair Group
人民币汇率变动状况及其对我国家电出口贸易影响的研究以海尔集团为例
目录
摘要 1
关键词 1
ABSTRACT 1
KEY WORDS 1
一、引言 2
二、文献综述 2
(一)对人民币汇率变动的研究 2
1.内部原因 2
2.外部原因 3
(二)对我国家电出口贸易现状的研究 3
(三)汇率变动对我国出口贸易影响 3
(四)企业与政府的对策 3
1.企业相应的策略 3
2.政府相关的措施 3
三、汇率的含义及近年来我国汇率变动的状况 4
(一)汇率的基本含义 4
(二)近年来我国汇率变动的状况和特征 4
(三)汇率变动的主要原因分析 5
1.经济增长 5
2.汇率政策 6
3.国际收支(财政与货币政策引起) 6
4.购买力平价 6
四、我国家电产品出口的现状 6
五、汇率变动对海尔集团家电的影响机理 6
优尔、实证分析 8
(一)模型建立以及数据说明 8
(二)单位根检验 8
(三)回归分析 9
(四)实证结果分析 10