浅议汇率变动对价格的传导机制
然后对全文中所提到的所有研究和分析进行总结，并使用实证分析--针对人民币汇率对国内物价的影响数据构建模型对结论进行检验，并在实证分析的所得结果的基础上提出了文持人民币汇率稳定、改革结售汇制度、调整出口产业结构、参考分类价格指数分类调整价格的政策建议。28213
毕业论文关键词 汇率变动 传递机制 物价 结售汇制度
Title Research on the mechanism of Exchange rate pass-through
Abstract
Because of the global economic impact, prices continued to rise in China now,according to the report of the 12 session of the national people's Congress meeting in 2015 forecast average CPI increase of around 3% in China, through the CPI growthing in December 2014 is the lowest in almost four years,it is 1.5%, but throughout 2014 real effective exchange rate appreciation of the Yuan reached 6.24%.From analysising the Chinese economic structure,we has found that chinese foreign trade accound.Because the Yuan appreciation and the price coutinued to rise.We think the RMB will always appreciate,Central banks will use the RMB appreciation to curb the trend of rising prices remained stable.States would use the RMB appreciation to curb inflation.In this paper, analysis this phenomenon.From analysising the exchange rate pass-through and studying on the nominal effective exchange rate of RMB on Chinese price transmission. We conclude that appreciation of the RMB will be able to curb inflation and reduce the country's prices, but the effect is not obvious, action was limited.Price transmission path of RMB exchange rate pass-through is clear,hoever,money supply transmission path and total supply-aggregate demand transmissiom path is obstructed.
Then summarize all research and analysis of the full text, and use the empirical analysis - build a model for the RMB exchange rate on domestic prices affect the data to test the conclusions.On the basis of the results of the empirical analysis presented policy recommendations to maintain the RMB exchange rate stability, the reform of foreign exchange settlement system, the export of industrial structure adjustment,adjust price referencing price index classification classification.
Keywords exchange rates，Exchange rate pass-through，Prices, The system of exchange settlement and sales
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