摘要一国参与国际贸易的根本动机是获得贸易利益,而贸易条件直接关系着一国在国际贸易中获利多少。其实质是揭示一国在国际贸易中的利益分配。在国际贸易中,贸易条件作为一个“交换效率”指标,用来衡量一国获取贸易利益空间的大小。一般认为,当贸易条件改善,则一国在国际贸易中所获利益增加,反之减少。为了更好的用贸易条件来分析一国在国际贸易中的获利情况,贸易条件的概念己由最初的价格贸易条件发展到收入贸易条件,单要素贸易条件和双要素贸易条件。由于收入贸易条件,单要素贸易和双要素贸易都是在价格贸易条件的基础上产生的,因此本文选择了价格贸易条件作为研究江苏省贸易条件的影响因素的切入点。尽管各个学者对中国的贸易条件是恶化还是改善作了大量的研究,然而对于江苏省的贸易条件的变动情况的研究却寥寥无几,因此,本论文在各个学者对中国贸易条件研究的基础上,探讨了江苏省贸易条件的变动情况及其影响因素,并运用1990——2010年的数据对江苏省贸易条件变动的影响因素进行了回归分析。最后,根据影响因素的回归模型所得结论,提出了一些改善江苏省贸易条件现状的措施。从而使江苏省的对外贸易发展重视贸易条件这个“质”的指标,使江苏省从贸易大省转变为真正的贸易强省。6961
关键词  贸易条件  GDP  外商直接投资  汇率
毕 业 论 文 外 文 摘 要
Title  An Empirical Analysis of the Change in the Terms of Trade  and its Influencing Factors in Jiangsu Province          
Abstract
The fundamental motive of a country's participation in international trade is to obtain the benefits of trade and terms of trade is directly related to the profit of a country in international trade. Its essence is to reveal the distribution of benefits of a country in international trade. In international trade, the terms of trade, as an "exchange efficiency" indicators, is used to measure the size of a country's interests. In generally, it is believed that as the terms of trade improve, a country in international trade benefits more from international trade, and on the contrary, it reduces. In order to make better use of terms of trade to analyze the profitability of a country in international trade, the concept of the terms of trade has been developed to income terms of trade, the single-factor terms of trade and two-factor terms of trade from the initial terms of trade. Income terms of trade, the single elements of trade and two-factor trade are generated on the basis of the price terms of trade, so this article chose the price terms of trade as an entry point to study the influencing factors of the terms of trade in Jiangsu Province. Although many scholars made a lot of research on China's terms of trade deterioration or improvement, there are few research in terms of trade changes of Jiangsu Province. therefore, on the basis of research of many scholars on Chinese terms of trade, the article explores changes in the terms of trade in Jiangsu Province and its influencing factors, and use the data from 1990 to 2010 to do regression analysis of the influencing factors of the change in the terms of trade in Jiangsu Province. Finally, according to the conclusions of the regression model of the influencing factors, a number of measures to improve the terms of trade in Jiangsu Province is found. The development of foreign trade in Jiangsu Province pay attention to the "quality" index of the terms of trade, so Jiangsu Province will become real trading province from trade Province.
Keywords  terms of trade  gross national product  foreign direct investment  exchange rate
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