我国出境旅游行业的经济因素影响研究

摘要认为，旅游是传播文明、交流文化、增进友谊的桥梁，是人民生活水平提高的一个重要标志，出国旅游更为广大民众所向往。“十二五”期间，我国出境旅游市场保持高速增长，提前实现“十二五”确定的发展目标。至“十二五”末，中国公民出境旅游人次达到1。17亿人次，完成预期目标的133%。76265

相比于国内旅游，因为出境旅游属于跨境消费，故影响其因素更多也更复杂。其次，出境旅游是一种高消费活动，必须以一定的经济基础为保障才能进行。故在众多影响因素中，经济因素的影响是最为重要的。其中，经济因素包括：经济总量、人均GDP、可支配收入、汇率等。由于各种变量之间可能存在一定的关联性，所以，本文以我国出境旅游行业为对象，提出我国出境旅游行业的经济影响因素，采用逐步回归分析的方法，研究影响我国出境旅游的显著性经济影响因素，并根据分析结果，来把握出境旅游市场的发展趋势，做出科学决策。

Abstract：President believes that tourism is the spread of civilization, the exchange of culture, promote friendship bridge, is an important symbol of the people's living standards improve, travel abroad, the majority of people yearn for。 During the 12th Five Year Plan period, China's outbound tourism market has maintained a rapid growth, and realize the development goal of "Twelfth Five Year Plan" in advance。 To the "Twelfth Five Year Plan", Chinese citizens outbound tourism trips to reach the target of 133% people, completed the expected target。

Compared to domestic tourism, outbound tourism as part of cross-border consumption, so the factors affecting are more and more complex。 Secondly, outbound tourism is a high consumption activities, certain economic basis must be carried out for protection。 Therefore, in a number of factors, the influence of economic factors are the most important。 Among them, the economic factors including: the total economy, per capital GDP, disposable income, exchange rate and so on。 Because there may be some correlation between variables, so China's outbound tourism industry is an object, the use of theoretical and empirical analysis combining the method of step wise regression analysis to study on the significant economic impact factors of China's outbound tourism, based on the analysis, to grasp the outbound tourism market trends, make scientific decisions。

毕业论文关键词：出境旅游；经济因素；理论分析；逐步回归分析；

Keyword: outbound tourism； economic factors； theoretical analysis； stepwise regression analysis；

一、引言 4

（一）选题背景和意义 4

（二）研究目标 4

（三）研究内容 5

（四）研究方法 5

（五）技术路线 6

（六）本文的创新点 6

二、文献综述 7

（一）关于中国出境旅游行业的相关研究 7

（二）关于影响中国出境旅游行业的经济因素分析研究 7

（三）研究中存在的问题 8

三、我国出境旅游行业的经济影响因素分析 9

（一）影响我国出境旅游发展的经济因素 9

1．经济总量我国出境旅游行业的经济因素影响研究:http://www.youerw.com/jingji/lunwen_87483.html