人民币汇率制度改革与货币政策的协调
本文首先阐述了蒙代尔-弗莱明模型和三元悖论的基本理论，通过这些理论说明了货币政策和汇率发生冲突的原因。其次，从历史的角度，按照时间顺序，讲述了1949年以来我国人民币汇率制度的变革。再次，在事实的基础上，分析我国人民币汇率制度与货币政策的冲突表现。最后，提出了人民币汇率制度与货币政策的协调方式。
毕业论文关键词：人民币汇率改革 货币政策 协调
Coordination of the RMB Exchange Rate System Reform and Monetary Policy
Abstract: With China's accession to the WTO, China's economic opening to the outside world degree rising trade barriers gradually eliminate, international payments surplus continues to grow, increase in foreign exchange reserves, China and the international communication is increasingly close, the RMB exchange rate becomes increasingly important position.However, in China's opening to the outside world and at the same time, also brought the hidden danger for China's economy, the RMB exchange rate appreciation pressure, exchange rate fluctuations also affects a country's price level.In this situation, China needs to learn from other countries and regions of exchange rate in the process of economic development and policy coordination, prompted China's exchange rate system and monetary policy coordination, promote economic stability and sustained development in China.
This article first elaborated the Mundell- Fleming model and the basic theory of ternary paradox, monetary policy and exchange rate is illustrated by these theories the cause of the conflict. Secondly, from the perspective of history, according to the time sequence, tells the story of the change of RMB exchange rate system in China since 1949. Again, using the fact that the RMB exchange rate system in China is analyzed and the conflict of monetary policy. Finally proposed the RMB exchange rate system and monetary policy coordination.
Key Words：the RMB exchange rate reform monetary policy coordinate
目 录
一、导论 1
（一）研究目的和意义 1
（二）文献综述 1
（三）主要内容 3
（四）研究的方法、创新和不足 4
二、汇率制度与货币政策冲突的理论 4
（一）蒙代尔—弗莱明模型 4
（二）“三元悖论” 9
三、人民币汇率制度的改革进程 12
（一） 第一阶段：1949-1978年 12
（二） 第二阶段：1979-1993年 13
（三） 第三阶段：1994-2005年7月20日 13
（四） 第四阶段：2005年7月21日至今 14
四、人民币汇率制度和货币政策的冲突 14
（一）1994-1996年的冲突 14
（二）1998年的冲突 15
（三）1998-2000年的冲突 15
（四）2002年以来的冲突 17
五、人民币汇率制度与货币政策的协调 18
（一）货币政策的选择 18
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