摘要随着近些年经济的发展,许多经济学家都将经济增长作为研究的核心内容,自从中国改革开放的实施,经济增长已经达到了人类经济发展的奇迹,但将来经济的增长将进入新常态。人民币的持续升值将导致增加劳动力和资源成本,最终盈利率大大降低,从而对劳动密集型企业造成严重冲击,以出口为导向的企业竞争力下降;自美国发生次贷危机以来,导致全球金融危机并给资本市场带来了巨大的金融风险。所有这些问题将给江苏省未来经济的发展带来直接或间接的影响。在新常态下经济增长将步入“6”时代,我省产业面临的不仅是困难,也有机遇,只有与时俱进,调整和优化产业结构来降低资源损耗,提高生产效率,最终保持我省经济稳定增长。本文通过分析现阶段江苏省产业结构的现状,利用Eviews对相关数据做分析,得出新常态下江苏产业结构优化对经济增长有着显著的影响。46585 毕业论文关键词:新常态;产业结构优化;经济增长
ABSTRACT With the development of economy in recent years, many economists will be economic growth as the core content of the research, since the implementation of China's reform and opening up, economic growth has reached the miracle of human economic development, but in the future economic growth will enter the new normal.Appreciation of the RMB will lead to increased cost of labor and resources, resulting in a significant reduction in the rate of profit on labor-intensive enterprises, export-oriented enterprises less competitive.Since the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States, leading to the global financial crisis and the capital market has brought a huge financial risk. All these issues will bring direct or indirect impact on the future economic development of Jiangsu province.These problems will have a significant impact on the future development of economy in Jiangsu province.In the new normal economic growth will enter the era of "6", facing the industry in our province is not only difficult, also have the opportunity, only to keep pace with the times, adjust and optimize industrial structure to reduce loss of resources, improve production efficiency, eventually to maintain the province's economic stable growth.By analyzing the current situation of the industrial structure of Jiangsu Province, using Eviews to analyze the relevant data, it is concluded that the optimization of industrial structure in Jiangsu has a significant impact on economic growth.
Key words:New normal;Industrial Structure;Economic Growth
目 录
摘 要 I
ABSTRACT II
第一章 绪论 1
1.1研究背景及意义 1
1.2研究主要内容 1
第二章 相关理论概述 3
2.1新常态的定义 3
2.2产业结构的定义与内涵 3
2.3经济增长的定义 5
2.4产业结构对经济增长的作用分析 5
第三章 新常态下江苏经济及产业结构发展现状分析 7
3.1江苏省产业结构的现状及存在的主要问题 7
3.2产业结构优化情况 8
第四章 产业结构优化对经济增长影响的实证分析 10
4.1数据的选择与处理 10
4.2江苏产业结构对经济增长的模型设定 11
4.3江苏产业结构对经济增长的实证分析 11
4.4实证小结 13
第五章 相关政策建议 14
5.1新常态下优化产业结构促进经济发展的基本思路 14
5.2江苏省产业结构优化升级政策研究 14