摘要现如今我国城市化进程飞速发展，人口增长与城市扩张是城市化的两个主要标志。城市人口增加是影响城市规模扩张的主要因素，而城市用地扩张之后，更多的农业人口向城市涌入，转换为城市人口，甚至大量存在以政府主导的造城运动，由此导致“驱赶型城市化”，即通过快速扩张城市面积发展土地城市化使农业人口向城市聚集。虽然我国是发展中国家，但是已经步入老龄化社会，人口增长与城市扩张之间的矛盾日益扩大：发展要求城市化不断地扩张，老龄化则会使以后人口的增长会维持在一个较低的水平上。因此通过定量分析来准确表述城市人均占地面积的现状、并且进行趋势预测显得尤为重要。72314

本文主要通过对城市人口及建成区面积的调查以求出城市人均占地面积，采用徐州市2004年至2013年的人口数量和建成区面积等数据运用回归模型对城市人均占地面积和年份的关系进行分析。

该论文有表7个，参考文献15篇。

毕业论文关键词：城市人口  建成区面积  城市人均占地面积  徐州市

Analysis on Current Situation and Trend of Per Capita Floor Area in Xuzhou City

Abstract Nowdays, population growth and urban sprawl is two main symbol of China's rapid development of urbanization。 Urban population increasing is the main driving factors of the expansion of urban land, and urban land expansion will shift more and more rural population into urban population,even existing city building leaded by government in a large amount,and leading "driven urbanization" nanely land urbanization symbols of the rapid expansion of the urban area drives agaricultural population to the city。 Although now our country has stepped into aging society,  but it is still a developing country。 The contradiction between them expands constantly。 Development requests urbanization expanding constantly, but aging society means that the future population growth will maintain at a low level。So describing the urban per capita covers an area of the status quo and trend prediction accurately by quantitative analysis is particularly important。

In this paper, the per capita covers an area of a city is calculated by the survey of urban population and area, using the data of urban population and area of xuzhou city from 2004 to 2013 to analyze the relationship between the per capita covers an area of a city and years by regression model。

This paper has 7 tables, 15 references。

Key words: urban population quantity  built-up area  urban per capita floor area   Xuzhou City

目  录

摘  要 I

Abstract II

目  录 III

表清单 IV

1 绪论 1

1。1研究背景及意义 1

1。2文献综述 2

2 徐州市人均占地面积现状分析 4

2。1徐州市城市人口现状概况 4

2。2徐州市建成区面积概况 5

3 2004-2013年徐州市人均占地面积分析 7

3。1原始数据 7

3。2一元线性回归模型的建立 8

4 结论 11

4。1徐州市人口数量变动趋势与建成区面积发展趋势预测 11

4。2徐州市人均占地面积发展趋势