农户兼业化程度对农民加入专业合作社意愿的影响研究
毕业论文关键词：农户兼业化 专业合作社 意愿
A Research of Concurrent Industrialization Impact on Farmers’ Willingness in Joining the Cooperation
--Case of Shandong Province
Abstract：This thesis is going to start from the motion of farmers concurrent industrialization and analyzing its influence when joining the cooperation and the fundamental mechanism of the influence by contrasting different action reflected by farmers in types of concurrent industrialization of two level-city located in my hometown--Shandong province. Having empirically researched the main purpose between all kinds of willingness of concurrent industrialization by using Dual Logistic Regression Model, the conclusion follows that: The lower per capita income of rural households and difficulty in selling farm product, the larger motion to join the cooperation will exists in farmers’ mind; meanwhile the harder farmers holding the family and increasing number of surplus labor that family have, the lower willingness to attend the cooperation they will have. In addition, for the complexity of impacting mechanism, three factors of farmer anti-danger competence (such as the competence of resisting natural disasters in the producing process, mastery of agricultural technology and difficulties on obtaining agricultural means of production ) have little impact on their interest to join the cooperation.
Key words: Part-time Farming Professional cooperatives will
目 录
摘要1
关键词1
Abstract1
Key words1
一、引言1
二、模型选择分析3
（一）分析的理论模型3
（二）实际情况的变量处理3
三、数据来源、研究假说及主要变量的统计描述3
（一）数据来源4
（二）研究假说4
1．家庭收入情况4
2．家庭劳动力数量4
3. 农业经营中的风险应对情况4
（三）主要变量的统计描述4
四、农户兼业化程度对农民加入合作社意愿影响机制模型分析5
（一）计量估计方法的选择 5
（二）Logistic模型回归结果及分析5
五、结论及政策启示7
（一）结论结论 7
（二）政策启示8
致谢9
参考文献9
农户兼业化程度对农民加入专业合作社意愿的影响研究——以山东省为例一、引言
我国近年来合作社遍地开花的形势，自2007年7月《农民专业合作社法》正式实施以来，工商登记的农村合作社数量不断增加，从2008年的10万家，增加到2012年底的68.9万家。根据国家工商总局的报告，到2014年3月，合作社已达106万家（《国家工商总局关于〈农民专业合作社年度报告办法（试行）（征求意见稿）〉公开征求意见的公告》（2014年5月12日）附件）。
建立、健全以农户为主体的各种新型农民专业合作社是提高农民在市场交易中的地位、提高农民收入、反展农业专业化和规模化的一项重要途径，由于对农户加入合作社意愿的影响因素研究能够更好地了解农户的想法和诉求，从而能更好地促进专业合作社的建立和完善，于是近年来多方学者对其进行了研究。通过现有的研究结论发现，农户兼业化程度对农民加入专业合作社意愿的影响较显著。随着改革开放和家庭联产承包责任制的实施，我国农村中出现了大量农户兼业现象。农户兼业经营对我国农民增收、农业发展有重要影响，且学术界对农户兼业存在广泛的争论与关注，对农户兼业进行研究有重要的现实意义。