广东经济增长对就业弹性的拉动作用
毕业论文关键词：经济增长； 就业弹性； 良性互动
Abstract
For a long time,the economics of Guangdong has kept the best economic level，it has also maintained a rapid growth rate.The growth rate of economic and full employment are the two main goals of macroeconomic policy.As a developed province,Guangdong has a large foreign population from other province,to look for jobs,so employment issues will be more subject of attention.Generally,employment rates will be driven by the rising economic growth.So what is the reason for Guangdong staged employment elasticity fell,even to zero.I will use the relevant data of 1978-2013 search for the relationship between economic growth and employment elasticity in Guangdong with an empirical analysis,Guangdong economic growth and employment to conduct a correlation test.Re-analysis of the likely impact of changes in employment in economic variables,including descriptive analysis and econometric models.The study found that the Guangdong economic trends and employment growth are basically the same.But employment elasticity has declined in recent years.In this paper, I will use some of the current events,explore the better policy for economic growth to have positive interaction with employment rates and to this end to adjust their politic thinking.The article includes five parts,preface outlines the theory and literature review.The second part is a statement of the current development situation of Guangdong economic and employment.The third part has used EVIEWS return affect the tertiary industry GDP and fixed asset investment in employment.Section IV describes the experimental results to determine the final summary of the fifth part of the analysis and policy advice.
Key words： economic growth；emplyment; positive interaction
目 录
摘 要Ⅰ
AbstractⅡ
一、引言1
㈠国外理论研究 1
㈠国内理论研究 2
二、广东省经济与就业发展现状4
㈠2013年广东地区生产总值的现状 4
㈡2013年广东就业情况4
㈢ GDP增长率与就业率分析4
三、经济增长与就业增长计量检验6
㈠GDP与就业协整检验 6
四、回归模型及检验的原因分析8
㈠变量说明8
㈡实证分析9
㈢原因分析9
五、经济增长与就业弹性协调建议10㈠创新发展城乡经济 10
㈡经济指标与引导就业 10
㈢大力扶持创业11
参考文献12
致 谢13
一、引言
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