省市对外贸易与经济增长关系的实证研究
在发展对外贸易上，江苏省应该在扩大出口、促进外贸产业结构升级、重视服务贸易、提升品牌自主创新能力方面继续努力。
关键词：对外贸易；经济增长；消费；投资
毕 业 论 文 外 文 摘 要
Title In a province (or municipality): an empirical study on the relationship between foreign trade and economic growth – As Jiangsu province for example
Abstract
As all we knows, foreign trade has promoting effect on economic growth. This article in China's Jiangsu Province as a research example, find the interrelationships between foreign trade and economic growth in Jiangsu Province. On the research methods, uses a combination of qualitative and quantitative analysis method, Selected foreign trade, import, export, consumption, investment and economic growth in these five indicator variables, By Cointegration Analysis and Granger causality test, get the result as follows: Growth of consumption and investment in Jiangsu Province on the pull of larger economic growth, exports on economic growth in Jiangsu province forward traction, while imports were hindering economic development in Jiangsu Province. At the same time, growth in GDP of Jiangsu Province and brought growth in consumption and investment. On the development of foreign trade, Jiangsu Province industrial structure upgrade in expanding exports, the promotion of foreign trade, emphasis on service trade, enhance the brand continue to work in the capacity of independent innovation.
Keywords ： Foreign trade; Economic growth; Consumption; Investment
目 次
第1章 绪论 1
1.1 研究背景 1
1.2 研究意义 1
1.3 研究内容 2
1.4 研究方法 2
1.5 研究的特点 3
第2章 文献综述 4
2.1 理论阐述 4
2.2 国内外实证研究现状 5
2.2.1 国外研究现状 5
2.2.2 国内研究现状 6
第3章 江苏对外贸易与经济增长的现状 7
3.1 江苏进出口贸易发展的现状 7
3.1.1 江苏进出口贸易总体发展的状况 7
3.1.2 江苏出口贸易发展的特征分析 8
3.1.3 江苏进口贸易发展的特征分析 10
3.2 江苏经济增长的现状分析 11
3.2.1 江苏整体经济增长现状分析 11
3.2.2 江苏三大产业经济增长现状分析 12
第4章 江苏对外贸易与经济增长关系的实证分析 14
4.1分析方法 14
4.2 指标的确定 14
4.3 样本数据的选取 15
4.4 实证过程 16
4.4.1 单方根ADF检验 16
4.4.2 协整检验 17