摘要：上海自由贸易试验区在2013年9月29日正式成立，涵盖了上海市外高桥保税区、外高桥保税物流园区、洋山保税港区和上海浦东机场综合保税区等4个海关特殊监管区域。论文论述了商品住宅价格的成因及其影响因素, 介绍了自由贸易试验区的分类、性质以及上海自由贸易试验区的设立背景，阐述了上海的房地产现状、政策，研究分析了随着上海自由贸易试验区的设立浦东房地产经济状况。通过房地产项目在自贸区设立前后的对比情况，针对上海浦东的商品住宅，选取浦东外高桥板块作为实例来研究房地产价格的变化趋势。通过价格预测模型进行预测，判断自由贸易区周边地区商品住宅的价格趋势。使用一元线性回归模型，建立模型分析经济状态发展。最后通过浦东房地产经济的变化和上海房地产价格的走势的对比、分析，研究得出了上海自由贸易试验区对于浦东房地产经济的影响。58113

毕业论文关键词： 自由贸易区； 房地产； 房地产经济； 房地产价格

The impact of the establishment of Free Trade Zone on the real estate economy in Pudong

Abstract：Shanghai free trade zone test in 2013 September 29 formally established, covering the Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone, Waigaoqiao Bonded Logistics Park, Yangshan Bonded Port and Shanghai Pudong Airport comprehensive bonded zone four areas under special customs supervision. Paper discusses the commercial housing price of the causes and effects of factors and introduces the test free trade zone classification, nature and Shanghai free trade test area set up the background, elaborated the Shanghai real estate situation, policy, research and analysis of the with the establishment of test the free trade zone of Shanghai Pudong real estate economic situation. Through real estate projects in the establishment of free trade area before and after comparison, according to the Shanghai Pudong commercial housing, select Pudong Waigaoqiao plate as an example to study the trend of real estate prices. Through the price forecasting model to predict the price trend of commodity housing in the surrounding areas of free trade area, using a linear regression model, the model analysis of the development of economic status. Finally through the Pudong real estate economic change and the Shanghai real estate price trend contrast, analysis, the Shanghai free trade test area for the Pudong real estate economic impact.

KeyWords： Free trade area; real estate; real estate economy; real estate price 

目录

1 绪论 1

1.1 研究背景 1

1.2 研究现状 1

1.2.1 国内研究综述 1

1.2.2 国外研究综述 5

1.3 研究内容与方法 5

1.4 研究意义 6

2 商品住宅价格 8

2.1 商品住宅价格的成因 8

2.2 商品住宅价格影响因素 8

2.3 商品住宅价格的变化规律 10

2.3.1 商品住宅价格受供求因素的影响 10

2.3.2 商品住宅价格受经济因素的影响 10

2.3.3 商品住宅价格受政策因素的影响 11

3 上海自由贸易区的设立 13

3.1自由贸易区的分类及其性质 13

3.2上海自由贸易区的设立政策 14