摘要：本文从对外直接投资的投资规模、产业分布、投资区位和发展中存在的问题出发，研究对外直接投资的现状。根据近十几年我国国际收支发展特点，总结我国国际收支发展的现状。接着从理论角度分析对外直接投资对我国国际收支中贸易、收益项目、资本项目的影响。为了更好地研究对外直接投资对我国国际收支的影响，利用回归模型进行实证分析，总结出分析结果，即对外直接投资对我国国际收支中的经常账户与资本和金融账户都有影响，其中对资本与金融项目的影响大于对经常账户的影响。最后，从政府和企业的角度出发对我国对外直接投资的发展提出了拓宽投资渠道、平等对待投资主体、加快完善对外直接投资相关政策等建议。82379

毕业论文关键词：对外直接投资；国际收支；贸易；资本项目

Study on the effects of foreign direct investment on China's international balance of payments

Abstract: This paper presents researched situation of outward foreign direct investment based on investment scale of outward foreign direct investment, industrial distribution, and location and investment problems in development。 According to the past more than 10 years our balance development, it can summary status of the development of China's international balance of payments。 Then this paper analysis of foreign direct investment on China's balance of trade, the impact of returns projects, capital projects from a theoretical perspective。 In order to better study the impact of foreign direct investment on China's international balance of payments, using regression model to carry out Empirical analysis and summary results of the empirical analysis, that is the 对外直接投资 has an impact on current account and capital and financial account, relatively the impact on the capital and financial account is large。 At last, it proposed some suggestions for China's outward foreign direct investment from the perspective of Government and Enterprise。 For example, broaden the channels of foreign direct investment, treat investors equally, improving foreign direct investment policies。

Key words: Foreign direct investment, International payments, Trade, Capital projects

目    录

摘  要： 1

Abstract: 1

一、 我国对外直接投资与国际收支的现状 2

（一）对外直接投资的现状 2

（二）我国国际收支的现状 5

二、 对外直接投资对我国国际收支的影响 6

（一）对我国国际贸易的影响 7

（二）对收益项目的影响 8

（三）对资本项目的影响 9

三、 对外直接投资对我国国际收支影响的实证分析 9

（一）数据来源与变量设定 9

（二）用EViews进行模型分析 10

（三）分析回归结果 12

四、 对我国对外直接投资发展的建议 13

（一）既要“引进来”也要“走出去” 13

（二）加快完善对外直接投资相关政策 14

（三）加快培养大型跨国公司并完善企业管理机制