铁路运输工具的高速化、客流量的快速增加、铁路旅客站功能复杂化等现状，均对高速铁路客运站的接驳体系设计提出了新的要求。对于高铁乘客而言，采用哪种交通方式出行，每种接驳方式的时间可靠性是重要的考虑因素之一。高铁站的接驳方式有很多，本文主要从公交车，出租车，社会车辆和轨道交通四种接驳方式进行分析，根据它们在城市内运行特征和高铁枢纽内运行特征的不同，分析高铁枢纽接驳服务时间的主要构成特征。根据建立时间可靠性评价指标的主要原则和时间可靠性计算的主要思路，计算各接驳体系的时间可靠性。按照高铁枢纽接驳体系的评价要求，以南京南站的接驳现状为基础，对南京南站进行评价及优化，并提出优化和改善方案。 59941
毕业论文 关键词：高铁枢纽 接驳体系 时间可靠性 层次分析法 评价指标
Title Research of the reliability of the travel time of the high-speed rail transfer links system.
Abstract The high speed and the rapid increase of the traffic flow of the rail transportation and the complication of the function of rail station both make new demands on the design of the high-speed railway passenger station connection system. Travel time reliability is one of the most important factors when the passengers of the high-speed railway take a trip. The paper analyzes the main constitutive characteristic of the service time of the high-speed railway connection system, according to the different running characteristics of the bus, the subway, the taxi and the social vehicles both in the city and in the high-speed railway connection system. According to the principle of establishing the indicators of travel time reliability and the main method of calculating travel time reliability, the travel time reliability of all kinds of high-speed railway connection system is calculated. According to the requirements of the evaluation of the high-speed railway connection system, the Nanjing South Railway Station is evaluated and optimized based on its current situation of connecting. At last, optimizing and improving strategy is put forward.
Keywords: High-speed rail station Feeder system Time reliability Analytic hierarchy process Evaluating indicator
目 次
1绪论 1
1.1研究背景及意义 1
1.3研究内容及技术路线 .. 3
1.4研究目的与意义 5
2高铁枢纽接驳体系特征分析 . 7
2.1高铁枢纽接驳体系的构成 . 7
2.2高铁枢纽接驳体系的运行特征分析 .. 7
2.3高铁枢纽接驳服务时间构成 . 10
3高铁枢纽接驳体系时间可靠性研究 13
3.1高铁枢纽接驳体系时间可靠性的影响因素 . 13
3.2高铁枢纽接驳过程时间可靠性计算 . 14
3.3高铁枢纽接驳服务时间可靠性研究 . 21
4高铁枢纽接驳体系的评价及优化 .. 23
4.1高铁枢纽接驳体系的评价 23
4.2高铁枢纽接驳体系的优化 29
5实证研究 . 34
5.1南京南站接驳体系现状概况 . 34
5.2 南京南站接驳体系时间可靠性研究 35
5.3 南京高铁站接驳体系评价与优化 .. 38
结论 41
致谢 42 高铁枢纽接驳体系出行时间可靠性研究:http://www.youerw.com/zidonghua/lunwen_65283.html