摘要群决策中的意见分歧现象受到越来越广泛的关注。决策方案的多元化、决策成员的复杂化，无一不使得意见分歧成为群决策过程中的一个最为普遍的现象。尽管决策领导们希望决策群体能够尽量统一意见，从而达到最高的决策效率，但是决策过程中出现的过度的群体思维现象会导致群体决策不能够按照理性的程序进行。66679

因而，在决策过程中对于逆群体思维的“另类专家思维”的研究，显然可以最大限度弥补这一现象带来的损失，使得决策群体的最终决策结果更加全面，能够更好的发挥群体决策的优势。

本文详细阐述了分歧意见存在的必要性，论述了分析分歧意见的意义，对比分析两种已存的群决策中专家意见分歧的判定研究方案，提出了新的判定方案。

毕业论文关键词    群决策  分歧专家  判定方法 

毕 业 论 文 外 文 摘 要

Title    The Research of the Judgement Method of Expert Disagreement                                    

Abstract

Phenomenon of disagreement in group decision  making by more and more attention.  With the persification of the decision-making program、Members of the decision-making of complicated，The disagreement become the most common phenomenon of group decision-making process，Although the decision-making leadership hope that the decision-making groups to achieve the highest decision-making efficiency，So as to achieve maximum efficiency in decision-making.Butdecision-making process appears excessive groupthink phenomenon which whoul Led group decision not able to follow a rational procedured .

Thus the research on In the decision-making process for the inverse groupthink "alternative expert thinking"，Obviously can maximize compensate for this loss.Makes the final decision of the decision-making groups more comprehensive。 In order to better play the advantages of group decision-making.

This paper describes the necessity of the existence of differences of the

Opinion, discusses the analysis of the significance of the differences of opinion， comparative analysis of expert opinion in the two saved in group decision，making differences determination of the research program. 

Keywords：  Group Decision Making  pergence experts  Method of determining

目次

1  绪 论 1

1.1研究背景 1

1.2研究意义 1

1.3国内外研究发展的现状 2

1.3.1国外群决策中意见分歧的研究现状 2

1.3.2国内群决策中意见分歧的研究现状 2

1.4本文的组织结构 4

2  群决策的意见分歧的本质 6

2.1意见分歧的概念 6

2.2 简述产生意见分歧的原因分类 6

2.3意见分歧存在的必要性 7

2.3.1群体思维现象的危害 7

2.3.2意见分歧的特点 8

2.3.3分析意见分歧的必要性 8

3 分歧意见判定的手段和方法的梳理、归纳和分析 9

3.1两种主要研究方案的论述及分析