摘要船板市场由钢铁企业、造船企业、船板三要素构成，构建良性的船板市场环境是推动钢企和船企共同发展的基础。新世纪以来，我国经济快速发展，船板市场规模不断扩大，逐渐出现产能过剩、供需矛盾加剧、出口疲软等一系列问题。因此缓解供需矛盾，推动钢铁产业结构转型至关重要。本文通过分析船企、钢企、船板产品三者的内在联系，指出上下游企业间需建立牢固、紧密的产业链，才能打破原本相对孤立的发展局面。借鉴金融市场分析中的基本面分析，分析船板市场中的供需关系，对缓解供需矛盾提出建议；借鉴金融市场分析中的技术面分析，结合移动平均线相关理论，分析中厚板价格波动和走势，总结船板价格波动对于上下游企业以及整个船板市场的影响，并在此基础上对船板市场未来的发展趋势做出预测分析。77296

毕业论文关键词：船板市场、基本面分析、技术面分析

Research on China’s shipbuilding steel markets

Abstract The shipbuilding steel plate market features three indispensable components including steel eterprises,shipbuilding dterprises and shipbuilding plate,therefore forming a benign environment of shipbuilding industry,which thus forges a basis for the joint development of steel and shipbuilding enterprises。Since the new century,drastically booming economy and constant expasion of shipbuilding industry leads to the surplus of production capacity and imbalance between supply and demand and other problems in company with the export。Therefore,it is crucial to ease the tension between supply and demand,push foword the transformation of steel industry structures。By exploring the intrinsic connection among shipbuilding enterprises, steel enterprises and boat deck products, this dissertation has pointed out that the otherwise relatively isolated and stagnant dilemma would be cracked by consolidating the industry chain of upstream and downstream firms。 Simultaneously, lessons have been drawn from the fundamental analysis of finance market analysis to explore the supply and demand relationship in shipbuilding steel market, and thus proposals have been put forward in easing the tension of supply and demand。 References of technical analysis in finance market, combined with relevant average line theory help to analyze price fluctuation and trend of medium and heavy plate and conclude upon the influence of price variation on upstream and downstream enterprises as well as the whole shipbuilding steel market, and on the above-mentioned basis projecting analysis of the trend of boat deck has been implemented。 

  Keywords:shipbuilding steel plate market;fundamental analysis;technical analysis

目  录

0 引言 1

1船板市场概况 1

1。1 中厚板介绍 1

1。2 船板市场参与者 1

1。2。1 船板市场需求方 1

1。2。2 船板市场供给方 2

1。2。3 我国主要船板交易平台 2

2 船板市场波动分析 3

2。1 基本面分析下的波动分析 3

2。1。1 宏观经济环境分析 3

2。1。2 船板市场供给分析 4

2。1。3 船板市场需求分析 7

2。1。4 中厚板市场波动周期 9

2。2 技术面分析下的波动分析 11

2。2。1 中厚板价格运行轨迹分析