摘要：我们的经济处于快速发展的阶段，国家的经济政策一直在变动，社会上也有很多事情会影响公司的发展，公司就会要解决很多问题，所以企业如果想要稳步的运营，想长期的生存下去，那就离不开提前策划、控制和分析,特别是财务方面，一个公司的经营状况，通过财务分析可以很好的反映出来，并且不同行业，不同公司，面临的不同的问题还需要建立有效的有针对性的财务预警措施。所有行业中，房地产行业的企业，一旦发生预警，整个金融界都要震荡一下。本文主要是针对的是房地产行业的企业，首先总结了传统财务指标体系及其分析方法，了解其理论基础，最后总结局限性。因为国内对于现金流方面的财务分析并不完善，所以本文以现金流量指标做为变量来构建合理的财务预警模型。最后，搜集有效数据，从财务报表中寻找有效指标，利用SPSS进行判定分析构建模型。81325

毕业论文关键字：现金流量指标；财务指标体系；财务预警；上市公司；财务分析

The Research on Financial Analysis Based on Cash-Flow Of Listed Companies

Abstract: Our economy is in the stage of rapid development, the country's economic policy has been changing, the community also has a lot of things will affect the company's development, the company will have to solve many problems, so if you want to operate steadily, want long-term survival , It is inseparable from the early planning, control and analysis, especially in terms of financial aspects, a company's operating conditions, through financial analysis can be a good reflection, and different industries, different companies, facing different problems also need to establish effective Of the targeted financial early warning measures。 All industries, the real estate industry enterprises, in the event of early warning, the entire financial sector have to shock。 This paper is mainly for the real estate industry enterprises, first summed up the traditional financial index system and its analysis methods, to understand its theoretical basis, and finally summarize the limitations。 Because the domestic financial analysis of cash flow is not perfect, so this paper to cash flow indicators as a variable to build a reasonable financial early warning model。 Finally, to collect valid data, from the financial statements to find effective indicators, the use of SPSS to determine the warning model。

Key Word:cash flow indicators;Financial indicators system; financial early warning; listed companies; financial analysis

目录

第一章 绪论 1

（一） 研究目的与背景 1

（二） 研究的意义 1

（三） 研究现状 2

1。 国外研究现状 2

2。 国内研究现状 4

（四）主要研究内容 6

1、研究内容 6

2、研究方法 7

第二章 传统财务指标分析内容 8

（一） 传统财务分析指标体系 8

1、盈利能力分析 8

2、偿债能力分析 9

3、营运能力分析