摘要 :本文基于2000-2015年中国省域出口贸易的数据，采用SNA社会网络分析对出口贸易的空间网络结构特征及其效应进行了考察，并采用QAP方法考察出口贸易的影响因素。研究发现：①中国省际出口贸易的空间关联呈现网络结构形态；样本考察期内，网络密度变化不明显，省际出口贸易空间关联结构并不是等级森严的，网络效率先升后降，网络稳定性由弱变强。②东部地域在网络中处于弱势地位，而中部地域起着重要的“传导”和“枢纽”作用。③中国出口贸易可分为四个功能板块。第一板块是“双向溢出”板块，主要由环渤海地区组成；第二板块是“经纪人”板块，主要由中部和西部地区组成；第三板块是“净受益”板块，主要由中部地域和长三角区域组成；第四板块是“净溢出”板块，主要由南部资源丰富的地域组成。④个体效应分析结果显示，出口贸易空间关联网络中各省的中心性对出口贸易的增加有促进作用。其中接近中心度对出口贸易提高的推进作用最为显著。⑤进口对出口贸易有显著拉动作用，对外贸易依存度则对出口产生消极影响。93607

毕业论文关键词： 出口贸易、社会网络分析、空间关联、QAP

Abstract :In this paper, based on China provincial export trade data from 2000 to 2015, using social network analysis (SNA) space network to analysis the space network structure characteristics and effects of the export trade, and the influence factors of export trade by QAP。 The study found that: (1) China's provincial export trade network structure pattern in spatial correlation;In the sample inspection period, the network density change is not obvious, a provincial export trade space correlation is not a hierarchical structure, network efficiency at first and lowered later network stability by weak strength。 (2) The east in the network is at a weak position, and the central region plays an important "bridge" and "transmission" role。 (3) Chinese export trade can be pided into four functional plate。 "The first plate is a" two-way overflow plates, is mainly composed of bohai rim region。 The second plates is the "agent", is mainly composed of central and western regions; The third sector is a "net benefit" plate, mainly composed of central region and Yangtze river delta region; The fourth section is the "overflow" net plate, is mainly composed of southern resource-rich regions。 (4) The inpidual effect analysis results show that the export trade space correlation network centricity throughout all the provinces of the increase of export trade。 Close to center of pull function on the export trade to improve the most significant。 (5) Import has significant effect on the export trade, foreign trade dependence has a negative impact on exports。

Keywords: Export trade、the social network analysis,、spatial correlation,、QAP

目   录

1。引言 4

2。文献综述 4

3。方法和数据 5

3。1出口贸易空间关联关系的确定 5

3。2。网络特征指标 6

3。3。数据来源 6

4、 中国省际出口贸易空间关联的网络结构特征 7

4。1整体网络结构特征及演变趋势 7

4。1。1中心性分析 9

4。2块模型分析 11

4。3  中国省际出口贸易空间关联网络的效应分析